Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.433535 0.508623 0.590727 0.686889 0.796136 0.916091 1.057462
2025-01-12 0.298533 0.394706 0.510557 0.659132 0.843231 1.062383 1.341369
2025-01-19 0.221377 0.324675 0.459818 0.646672 0.894986 1.209952 1.635381
2025-01-26 0.177819 0.285348 0.436303 0.658538 0.971220 1.388471 1.978877
2025-02-02 0.145581 0.253597 0.415166 0.666547 1.038130 1.555827 2.317450
2025-02-09 0.120445 0.226581 0.394927 0.670334 1.095763 1.711389 2.648239
2025-02-16 0.103808 0.209469 0.386152 0.688341 1.173435 1.898712 3.034702
2025-02-23 0.088394 0.191093 0.371868 0.694490 1.231519 2.059288 3.390798
2025-03-02 0.071294 0.165906 0.341718 0.669667 1.236256 2.136998 3.625173
2025-03-09 0.063098 0.156255 0.337364 0.687709 1.311560 2.328283 4.044290
2025-03-16 0.055215 0.145550 0.329240 0.697481 1.372713 2.499777 4.441135
2025-03-23 0.051159 0.142323 0.334942 0.732882 1.480660 2.753757 4.983709
2025-03-30 0.043535 0.129508 0.319938 0.728022 1.517813 2.894594 5.354588
2025-04-06 0.036567 0.116641 0.302821 0.716895 1.542345 3.015516 5.699946
2025-04-13 0.030991 0.105899 0.288498 0.709370 1.572317 3.146933 6.069487
2025-04-20 0.027653 0.100388 0.285119 0.724159 1.646152 3.360264 6.591185
2025-04-27 0.024440 0.094394 0.279601 0.733486 1.709549 3.557922 7.094971
2025-05-04 0.021406 0.088104 0.272295 0.737806 1.762776 3.739407 7.578476
2025-05-11 0.019445 0.084706 0.271767 0.757419 1.848828 3.986812 8.192427
2025-05-18 0.017188 0.079659 0.266062 0.764115 1.907913 4.185796 8.726764
2025-05-25 0.014061 0.070465 0.247400 0.737180 1.892114 4.238616 8.992180
2025-06-01 0.012846 0.068074 0.247546 0.756766 1.979710 4.498773 9.658350
2025-06-08 0.011501 0.064728 0.244329 0.767371 2.047831 4.723435 10.266592